giovedì 4 ottobre 2012

Il Grafico del Giorno: la Waterloo della Francia


A quanto si evince dal Grafico, il PIL della Francia ormai dovrebbe essere già in CONTRAZIONE.
L'Economia francese ha iniziato ad implodere.
Il PMI servizi è crollato come non accadeva da ottobre 2011.
Il Composite PMI calcolato da Markit (manifatturiero+servizi) è crollato ad un ritmo che non si vedeva dagli Abissi della Grande Crisi-fase-1 ovvero dal ferale Marzo 2009,
mentre la perdita di posti di lavoro ha accelerato come non accadeva da 33 mesi
e l'output è crollato come non accadeva da 42 mesi...
Key points:
Final Markit France Services Activity Index at 45.0 (49.2 in August), 11-month low.
Final Markit France Composite Output Index at 43.2 (48.0 in August), 42-month low..................


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vedi il mio post: E man mano ci si avvicina al CORE dell'Eurozona: il caso Francia

Summary:

French service providers reported a steeper decrease in business activity during September. The latest fall in activity reflected a considerable drop in incoming new work. Companies adjusted staffing levels down accordingly, leading to an accelerated drop in employment. Input prices rose at a sharper rate but output charge discounting gathered pace, highlighting a deepening squeeze on companies’ margins. Future expectations meanwhile dipped into negative territory for the first time since February 2009.

The seasonally adjusted final Markit France Services Business Activity Index – which is based on a single question asking respondents to report on the actual change in business activity at their companies compared with one month ago – posted 45.0 in September, down from 49.2 in August. The latest reading pointed to a marked rate of contraction in activity and the fifth decline in the past six months.
The seasonally adjusted final Markit France Composite Output Index – which measures the combined output of the manufacturing and service sectors – registered 43.2 in September, down from 48.0 in August. The latest reading was indicative of a substantial decline in activity and the steepest rate of contraction since March 2009.

Service sector activity declined in response to a further fall in new business during September. The rate of contraction in new work accelerated to the fastest in five months, with anecdotal evidence pointing to lacklustre demand conditions and clients delaying decisions on projects. Combined with a steeper decline in new orders in the manufacturing sector, overall new business across the French private sector fell at the steepest rate for 41 months.
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